Connect with us

Featured

TRIAL CENSUS: TOWARD A BETTER FIRST DIGITAL 2023 CENSUS

Published

on

As National Population Commission, NPC began the census dress rehearsal in preparation for the 2023 general housing and population census in the country Joel Ajayi takes a critical look at the impact of trials, commission preparedness, security, and importance of the population in general.

Despite the challenges here and there, the coast is now clear for the conduct of the 2023 population census across the country as the trial census began.

The Population Census, scheduled for 2023, will be coming shortly after the general elections, no doubt about it, next year will be a crowded season for the entire country.

A census is a procedure of systematically acquiring and recording information about the members of a given population.

As part of preparatory activities for the census, meetings, workshops, and training were organized across the nation.

The Commission has done a lot to achieve this feat, it has carried out the Enumeration Area Demarcation which is the division of the entire land area of Nigeria into small unit areas that can be covered by a pair of enumerators during the census period. 

So far, 772 Local Government Areas as of December 2021 have been demarcated.

Given the scope of manpower required, the Commission had to source personnel from outside the Commission bringing on board thousands of young Nigerians during EAD to enable the commission to have a better, reliable, and acceptable headcount.

On Monday 27th of June 2022, the commission took another bold step and began its trial census in preparation for the 2023 general housing and population census.

Their trial census would cover the 36 states of the federation and the FCT and this is going to be taking place simultaneously across the federation.

Also, six local government areas were selected from a state in each of the six geo-political zones have been full enumerated which include,  Toungo Local Government Area, Adamawa State – North East, Daura Local Government Area, Katsina State, North West, Karu Local Government Area, Nasarawa State, North Central.

Others were Imeko-Afon Local Government Area, Ogun State, South West, Idemili South Local Government Area, Anambra State, South East, Brass Local Government Area, Bayelsa State, and South-South.

However, the importance of the census is endless and ranges from Knowing the size of the population; Determining the number of taxable adults; Forecasting possible economic needs; Determining the number of unemployed citizens, and the standard of living of the citizens in the country.

Another census advantage is to reveal the level of manpower; estimating the number of migrants and immigrants. Determining the population density. Providing social amenities as well as assisting the government and international agencies in helping the country.

Though, the outcome of the ongoing trial census will not form the basis of the 2023 census. Data generated during the trial census will not be used to arrive at figures for the 2023 census, which is going to be zero-based and from information collected in April 2023, but would go a long way to help the commission measures its preparedness, loopholes for conduction the better, accurate and acceptable population census come 2023.

The trial census will test all aspects of census operations, from planning to implementation including logistics arrangement and management, questionnaire design and format, training procedures, fieldwork operations, publicity, payment system, data processing, data tabulations and analysis.

Addressing newsmen in Abuja, Chairman, NPC, Nasir Isa-Kwarra, during a media briefing on the commencement of the trial census exercise also known as the “census dress rehearsal”, revealed that trial census is another key preparatory activity ahead of the census

He stated that it would run from June 27 to July 30, 2022, with coverage of about 7,718 enumerated areas.

“The population census is key to achieving national planning and consequently overall development.

“The selection of the coverage areas has been scientifically and purposefully carried out to achieve the objectives of the Trial Census.”

However, he applauded the support of the media for always disseminating information and Educating reports as well as in-depth reports on census preparatory activities which has placed the 2023 Census at the center of national discourse as well as mobilizing Nigerians for its successful conduct. 

“As the Commission takes the next crucial steps towards the 2023 Census, the Commission will continue to count on the collaboration and partnership of the Nigerian media.”

He, therefore, appealed to all strategic partners to join hands with the Commission in realizing the dream of providing the needed demographic data that will facilitate and place our country on the pedestal of sustainable development.

He reiterated that the commission will leave no stone unturned to ensure an accurate, acceptable census that will be essential to national planning and development.

 Also, NPC Boss tasked newly recruited enumerators to ensure accuracy in data gathering during the trial census.

Kwarra underscored the need for enumerators to be thorough, painstaking, and accurate in the data gathering, adding that accurate data would foster quality planning for national development.

He said the conduct of the forthcoming census will be digital, as a result, it is imperative for the enumerators to learn the nitty-gritty of the process to guarantee accurate data.

He said: “We want to have accurate data. Please, give maximum attention to facilitators as they train you.

“Get acquainted with these hand-held devices. Without accurate data, we cannot plan adequately in this country.

“Without census data, anything a country is doing is just to make up. This is why every country, including Nigeria, is trying to do whatever they can to make sure that the census process is efficient because the outcome of that process is going to sustain the country for years to come.

“If we don’t get data accurately, we will mislead planners. That is why it is important that we get it right.”

In her remarks, Mrs. Patience Mbagwu, Acting Director-General of NPC, reiterated the need for quality and accurate data, urging the enumerators to carry out the national assignment conscientiously.

Mbagwu charged them to utilize the 12day training period to get acquainted with the entire process, urging them to commit themselves to the success of the trial census.

She restated that a digital, paperless census would be conducted, just like their recruitment was done electronically to ensure transparency and promote merit.

Though all might be set for the 2023 headcount exercise, there are many militating against it?

The phenomenon of ethnicity and religion brought to Nigeria among other negative impacts includes discrimination, corruption, and politics of federal character.

Similarly, economic development and social and cultural development could be regarded as major problems in Nigeria.

Also, the security of life in Nigeria is nothing to write home about and for Nigeria to have it right, safety must be guaranteed.

Another reason to believe that records doctoring, Insufficient and Ineffective Census Educational Campaign and Falsification of Population Census Result: In the counting of population census in Nigeria due to past experience of the census conducted in 2006, the demographic data were said to be deliberately falsified, thus the population was exaggerated in the published results.

Meanwhile, early planning, proper organization, and deployment of modern and improved technologies for data collection must be adopted by National Population Commission

In conclusion, if Nigeria must get it right and plan with facts, it must get it right and plan with facts, it must strive to conduct credible and widely acceptable censuses in the future

Continue Reading

Featured

Resetting the Frontlines: Army Undergoes Rejuvenation Under Lt. Gen Shaibu’s Command

Published

on

  • Intelligence-led warfare, troop welfare take centre stage
  • Discipline, welfare, accountability define new era
  • As sustained operations weaken terrorists, restore confidence

By Ibukunoluwa Adedeji

When Lt-Gen. Waidi Shaibu assumed office as the 25th Chief of Army Staff (COAS) on 30 October 2025, Nigeria faced an array of security challenges: insurgency in the North-East, banditry and kidnappings in the North-West, communal violence in the North-Central, and separatist tensions in the South-East. Troops were overstretched, public confidence was fragile, and adversaries were increasingly adaptive.

Yet within his first 100 days, Shaibu delivered renewed direction, restored confidence, and a reinvigorated operational posture. His leadership has begun to reshape both the internal culture of the Army and its external engagement with a nation hungry for stability.

From the outset, Shaibu emphasised leadership by presence. He undertook early and frequent visits to frontline formations, engaging directly with troops and commanders, inspecting bases, and holding candid discussions about operational realities. During one such visit, he reminded soldiers that “failure is not an option” and that the Army must “take the fight to the enemy and sustain the pressure”. For personnel operating under austere conditions, this visible command style carried symbolic and practical weight, signalling both accountability and support.

Within the ranks, these engagements have been interpreted as a reassertion of professionalism, initiative, and discipline at every level of command. Morale, strained by years of protracted internal security operations, has shown early signs of recovery.

Rather than pursue sweeping doctrinal changes, Shaibu has focused on tightening existing operations, closing gaps, and enforcing discipline. Commanders have been directed to prioritise sustained pressure over episodic offensives, denying armed groups freedom of movement, disrupting their logistics networks, and degrading command structures. This approach reflects an understanding that Nigeria’s threats are fragmented and mobile, and that lasting gains depend less on dramatic victories than on persistent control of contested spaces.

Central to this recalibration is the emphasis on intelligence-led operations. By urging formations to reduce predictability and adapt tactics to evolving threats, Shaibu has reinforced flexibility and responsiveness, particularly in theatres where adversaries exploit terrain, local vulnerabilities, and intelligence gaps.

Perhaps the most widely welcomed dimension of Shaibu’s early tenure has been his candour about logistics and welfare challenges. He has openly acknowledged equipment shortages, maintenance backlogs, and inefficiencies in supply chains — issues often underplayed at senior command levels. “You cannot demand excellence from soldiers without giving them the tools to succeed,” he told troops during one engagement.

Although such systemic problems cannot be resolved quickly, the early prioritisation of welfare and sustainment has resonated strongly across the ranks. It has reinforced the principle that discipline and performance thrive where leadership invests in people as much as platforms.

Shaibu has also been unequivocal in reaffirming professionalism and discipline as non-negotiable pillars of Army conduct. Troops have been reminded to adhere strictly to rules of engagement and to protect civilians, particularly in complex internal security environments where the distinction between combatant and non-combatant is often blurred. “Operational success and public trust are inseparable,” he has said, underscoring that legitimacy and restraint are as critical as kinetic force in modern conflict.

Civil–military relations and strategic communication have likewise received renewed attention. Under his leadership, the Army has sought to balance operational secrecy with transparency, explaining actions affecting civilians and reinforcing the reality that contemporary conflicts are fought as much in the court of public opinion as on the battlefield.

While his tenure remains young, early operational dividends are emerging. Dr Sani Abubakar, military scholar and publisher of OurNigeria News Magazine, describes Shaibu’s leadership as “reassuring and energising”, citing his combat credibility, operational boldness, and focus on troop welfare. According to Abubakar, Shaibu’s philosophy centres on sustained dominance of the battlespace, intelligence-led targeting, and uncompromising control of reclaimed terrain — principles vital to breaking cycles of retreat and resurgence by armed groups.

He notes that numerous terrorist elements have been neutralised under this approach, while others, weakened by sustained pressure, have surrendered. Equally significant, Abubakar observes, is Shaibu’s emphasis on sound administration. Fairness and transparency in postings and appointments are gradually restoring confidence within the officer corps and rank and file, addressing long-standing concerns about morale, meritocracy, and institutional trust.

Reflecting on Shaibu’s career, Abubakar describes him as “a thoroughbred, no-nonsense officer who led from the front and was unflinching in confronting Boko Haram terrorists”. His insistence on integrity, accountability, and merit-based leadership, he argues, is grounded in experience at every level of command and now shapes the tone of the Army’s senior leadership.

At the 100-day mark, Shaibu’s tenure is defined more by direction than dramatic outcomes — a reality seasoned analysts regard as realistic and prudent. Nigeria’s vast terrain, multiplicity of threats, intelligence gaps, and enduring resource constraints mean that no leader can deliver transformative security outcomes overnight.

Nevertheless, the gains are tangible. Operational coherence has improved, morale has lifted, and public confidence, though cautious, has begun to recover. The focus on sustained operations, intelligence-driven targeting, troop welfare, professionalism, and accountability represents a recalibration towards durability rather than spectacle.

Abubakar, while commending these advances, advocates deeper investment in human intelligence, expanded use of unmanned aerial vehicles, and sustained commitment to security sector governance reforms as essential for long-term efficiency and professionalism.

Beyond operational metrics, one of Shaibu’s most significant achievements lies in restoring institutional confidence. Among officers and soldiers, his leadership style — marked by visibility, firmness, and empathy — has reinforced the belief that competence, integrity, and merit are once again ascendant values within the Nigerian Army.

Among communities affected by violence, his emphasis on civilian protection, transparency, and professionalism has begun to reframe perceptions of the military from a distant security force to a responsive national institution committed to safeguarding lives and livelihoods. For political leaders and security stakeholders, his early tenure has provided reassurance that Army leadership understands both the complexity of Nigeria’s security challenges and the necessity of sustained, coordinated responses rather than episodic reactions.

Ultimately, Shaibu’s success will be measured not by early momentum but by enduring outcomes: fewer attacks, safer communities, and restored public confidence in the state’s capacity to protect its citizens. Troops will judge whether leadership intent continues to be matched by resources, reforms, and consistent follow-through.

What is already clear, however, is that Lt-Gen. Waidi Shaibu has reset the tone at the top of Nigeria’s Army. Through leadership by presence, operational discipline, attention to troop welfare, and an unambiguous commitment to professionalism and accountability, he has laid the foundations for sustained institutional recovery.

In a security environment where patience is scarce and pressure relentless, these early gains matter. They suggest that under Shaibu’s stewardship, the Nigerian Army is not merely reacting to threats, but regaining the initiative, and crucially, the confidence needed to confront Nigeria’s most persistent security challenges with resolve, coherence, and credibility.

Continue Reading

Trending

error

Enjoy this blog? Please spread the word :)