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WHY ATIKU OR OBI CANNOT WIN TINUBU IN NEXT YEAR GENERAL ELECTIONS

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It’s unbelievable that anybody will think or imagine that Atiku Abubakar or Peter Obi will beat the Joint Force of Muhammed Buhari and Bola Ahmed Tinubu in any Election in Nigeria, not only the 2023 General Elections.

The only way an Atiku or a Peter Obi can stand any chance is if Buhari and Tinubu were not a force together.

And unfortunately for PDP and Labour Party that is not the case heading into the 2023 General Elections.

Both Buhari and Tinubu have built themselves to be institutions in their respective Political Ecosystem .

They do not only have followers, they have cult followership who are like mount Zion that cannot be moved.

Whether you tell them the Price of food have gone up or not or you give them rhetorics of how the Naira is depreciating , their followership of these two Great leaders are on unshakable.

Yes , it’s nice to see the Obidient movement all over the social media .

It is a good place to start but often times social media is a mirage of the real thing .

But let’s even give it to the Obidients with how far they have come on social Media, however, anybody that follows or understands Nigeria Politics will know that, that is still a far cry to the cult followership people like Buhari and Tinubu have built over the years, going into over ten years.

Whether anybody likes or wants to hear this or not, that is the stag reality of the status of those two APC leaders.

What Peter Obi is basing his winning chances on is simply Sympathisers who are either ignorantly frustrated with the challenges in the Country or a group of bandwagon Nigerians who just want a change of guard.

But on the other hand , the joint force of PMB and Asiwaju will be riding on core followership to deliver Jagaban to Aso rock next year.

Like what we see in other clans like in Football and Music , Politics is no exception at all, especially in this part of the World.

For example, Only very few Arsenal fans if there are even any that must have left the club to another club , following their years of failures and inconsistency.

Yes , many on several occasions must have expressed their displeasure on how their team have not been doing well but because they are cult followers, they still support and follow the team.

Similar scenario can be seen in music where we have the Wizkid FC here in Nigeria.

These fans are totally dead to anything negative about Wizkid.

Infact no matter how bad a WizKid song might sound, to these guys the song is a hit and you dare not tell them otherwise.

These are cult followers and not just sympathisers that might either blow hot or cold.

This is exactly what Buhari enjoys in the North and Tinubu also enjoys in most part of the South West.

Across the Country , Tinubu also built individuals from the lower class to the upper class and this is why many will say Tinubu has a Political Structure going into the Elections.

Atiku does not have such Followership even in his State Adamawa.

Definitely he has his own sympathisers and followers as well, but does not command that unifying, legendary, fatherly and structural followership in the North and across the Country.

Even the inner caucus of the opposition especially the PDP knows this so well and this is why within their ranks , they were still hopeful that there will be some sort of crack between Buhari and Tinubu going into their campaign.

They understand the enormity of the mountain they will be climbing if both Individuals are hundred percent together throughout the campaign leading up to the Elections in February next year.

And it just seems both of them are actually together having put aside their differences and this was clearly displayed in Jos on Tuesday during the official flag off campaign of the APC.

Written by Micheal Obasi,. A Member of the APC PCC Public Affairs Directorate

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Turning Africa’s Raw Materials Into Wealth: The ARMS 2026 Industrial Agenda

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By Joel Ajayi

For decades, Africa’s vast natural resources have powered industries and economies far beyond the continent, while many African countries have remained largely exporters of unprocessed commodities and importers of finished products.

That familiar pattern is now coming under renewed scrutiny as policymakers, researchers, investors and industrialists seek to change the direction of Africa’s resource economy.

At the centre of that conversation is the second edition of the Africa Raw Materials Summit (ARMS 2026), scheduled for October 19 and 20 at the Abuja Continental Hotel, Abuja, under the theme: “From African Feedstock to African Factories.”

Organised by the Raw Materials Research and Development Council (RMRDC), the summit is being positioned as more than another gathering of policymakers and industry stakeholders. It is intended to provide a platform for confronting the structural challenges that have kept African raw materials largely disconnected from local manufacturing.

Africa has for years operated largely within a “pit-to-port” economic model, exporting raw materials while importing expensive finished products.

Speaking at a press conference ahead of the summit on Tuesday in Abuja, the Director-General and Chief Executive Officer of RMRDC, Prof. Nnanyelugo Martin Ike-Muonso, said the event would bring together policymakers, investors, researchers, technology providers and industrialists to develop practical strategies for transforming Africa’s abundant natural resources into industrial wealth.

The challenge, therefore, is not simply the abundance of resources, but the continent’s ability to transform those resources into industrial value, employment, technology and wealth within Africa.

Nigeria alone, according to the RMRDC, has more than $582.4 billion in documented non-renewable natural resources, while the wider continent possesses substantial deposits of critical minerals, agricultural raw materials and industrial feedstock.

Yet, the benefits of this resource endowment have often been constrained by inadequate processing capacity, weak infrastructure, limited technology, financing gaps and fragmented regional value chains.

From Dialogue to Industrial Action

ARMS 2026 builds on the maiden edition held in May 2025, which attracted more than 1,000 delegates from across the world.

The inaugural summit also witnessed the unveiling of the Ten-Year Raw Materials Transformation Roadmap (2025–2034) by the Minister of State for Industry, Senator John Owen Enoh.

The roadmap was designed around areas including technological capability, climate-resilient processing and backward integration, establishing a policy framework for greater domestic utilisation of Africa’s raw materials.

The second edition is expected to move the conversation further by bringing policy, capital, technology and industrial stakeholders around practical mechanisms for turning raw materials into locally manufactured products.

One of the major proposals highlighted by the RMRDC is the 30 per cent Mandatory Value Addition Bill, which seeks to establish a statutory minimum level of value addition to Nigerian raw materials before export.

The Council says the proposed framework could support job creation, import substitution, foreign-exchange conservation and increased manufacturing contribution to the economy.

Building the Infrastructure for Value Addition

The industrial transformation envisaged by ARMS 2026 goes beyond legislation.

A major concern is the “missing middle” between where raw materials are produced and where factories are located.

Poor transportation networks, inadequate cold-chain facilities, weak rural roads, limited testing and certification infrastructure and border-related delays can make locally sourced materials more expensive and less competitive.

Consequently, logistics and infrastructure constitute one of the five principal pillars of the summit.

The objective is to develop more reliable corridors connecting farms and mines with processing centres and manufacturing facilities, thereby reducing losses and improving the movement of industrial inputs.

The Digital Dimension

Technology is also becoming an important part of the Council’s strategy.

The RMRDC says it has developed the Nigeria Integrated Information Statistical System for Raw Materials and Products (NISSRAMP), described as a digital repository containing information on feedstock deposits, specifications, production outputs and industrial absorption rates.

The Council has also highlighted its transition towards paperless operations and its certification as a Data Controller/Processor of Major Importance by the Nigeria Data Protection Commission.

Such digital infrastructure could provide investors and manufacturers with better information about the availability and characteristics of raw materials while supporting more informed industrial planning.

Turning Waste Into Industrial Inputs

Another major component of ARMS 2026 is the proposed expansion of the circular economy.

The summit will examine how agricultural by-products, mine tailings, scrap metals and biomass can be recovered and reused as inputs for new production processes rather than being treated simply as waste.

The RMRDC argues that such an approach could lower raw-material costs while supporting more sustainable and climate-resilient manufacturing systems.

For Africa, where industrial expansion must increasingly balance economic development with environmental considerations, waste industrialisation could become an important part of the continent’s manufacturing conversation.

From National Production to African Value Chains

The African Continental Free Trade Area is another important element of the summit’s agenda.

The RMRDC sees AfCFTA as an opportunity to create regional value chains in which raw materials sourced in one African country can be processed and supplied to manufacturers in another.

Under such a model, Africa would move beyond simply exporting commodities to external markets and develop stronger internal networks for supplying chemicals, refined minerals, agricultural inputs and other industrial materials across national borders.

This approach places regional integration at the heart of Africa’s industrialisation strategy.

Bridging Research and Capital

A recurring weakness in many developing economies is the gap between research and commercialisation.

Innovations may emerge from universities, research institutions and laboratories without receiving the financing, equipment or market connections required to become commercially viable.

ARMS 2026 intends to address that gap through technology commercialisation and capital linkages, connecting research outputs with investors, development finance institutions and industrial off-takers.

The RMRDC has also cited partnerships with the Bank of Industry for commercial-scale post-harvest processing and a South-South technology-transfer partnership with the National Innovation Centre par Excellence in Shanghai, China.

A Larger Industrial Conversation

The scale of ARMS 2026 is expected to be significantly larger than the maiden edition.

The organisers project more than 1,800 delegates from all 54 African countries and global industrial partners.

The programme will feature high-level policy dialogues, technical panels, an advanced raw materials and technology exhibition, industrial site visits and the African Raw Materials Industry Awards.

The exhibition, in particular, is expected to showcase locally fabricated processing machinery, advanced domestic materials, green chemicals and engineered commercial inputs.

Beyond the speeches and exhibitions, however, the real significance of ARMS 2026 will ultimately depend on what happens after the summit.

Africa’s challenge has never been a shortage of raw materials. The more difficult question has been how to transform those resources into factories, products, skilled employment, technology and sustainable economic opportunities.

For Nigeria and the rest of the continent, the proposed shift from “pit-to-port” to “feedstock-to-factory” therefore represents a broader debate about the future structure of African economies.

ARMS 2026 seeks to place that debate firmly on the industrial agenda — with value addition, technology, finance, infrastructure, circular production and regional trade at the centre.

If the commitments and partnerships generated by the summit translate into measurable industrial activity, the event could provide another platform for Africa to examine how its enormous resource base can support stronger domestic manufacturing.

The message from the organisers is clear: the continent’s raw materials should not only leave African soil as commodities; they should increasingly become the foundation for African industrial production

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